The main event of UFC Kansas City is set to feature a significant welterweight clash between Ian Machado Garry and Carlos Prates. This fight carries considerable implications for the 170-pound division. A victory for Garry could see him quickly return to title contention after his recent close decision loss. Conversely, a win for Prates would extend his impressive winning streak to five and maintain the momentum he has built representing the “Fighting Nerds” gym during a breakout year in 2024.
With the card offering several intriguing matchups, let`s delve into some predictions and potential betting opportunities for this weekend`s event.
Fight Predictions
Picking against Carlos Prates is difficult, given how entertaining he is to watch and support, but I believe his winning streak may face its toughest test here. While Garry sometimes receives criticism, his undeniable talent is clear. His performance against Shavkat Rakhmonov, where he nearly handed the potential future champion his first loss, showcased his capabilities. Although some attribute this to Rakhmonov potentially being injured, much credit is due to Garry`s well-rounded skill set and ability to challenge opponents in all areas. This versatility poses a significant challenge for Prates.
Prates possesses a dynamic and dangerous striking style but can be overly aggressive. Garry is also dangerous on his feet and holds an advantage in the grappling department. Furthermore, Garry likely has better cardio. These numerous small advantages collectively favor a victory for Garry on Saturday.
Andre Muniz is scheduled to face Ikram Aliskerov. While Aliskerov is rightfully favored, the odds appear excessively wide. Muniz, despite some recent setbacks, remains a dangerous grappler. Aliskerov is a competent wrestler, but not among the elite. If Muniz can successfully engage Aliskerov in grappling exchanges, he stands a good chance of capitalizing.
Chelsea Chandler takes on Joselyne Edwards in what is expected to be an early bout on the card, and the odds for this fight seem inaccurate. Edwards is not an outstanding fighter and demonstrates weaknesses in defensive wrestling. Chandler, despite her own imperfections, is capable of securing takedowns and turning the fight into a gritty contest. Chandler`s only losses have come against established competitors in the 135-pound division. While Edwards might deserve to be the favorite, the margin should be much narrower.
It`s tough to predict this, but it seems unavoidable. Anthony Smith is making what is expected to be his final walk to the cage, and it`s unlikely to go well for him. Smith isn`t old in years, but he has accumulated significant fight mileage, and his chin, which was never his strongest asset, is even less reliable now. Zhang is a powerful striker who is known for finishing fights quickly; his last 15 bouts have all concluded in the very first round. Expect a similar outcome in this matchup.
This prediction is based on a straightforward assessment: Randy Brown is the superior all-around fighter, and Nicolas Dalby is highly durable and rarely gets finished. Dalby has shown good form recently, but he is older, and Brown is the more dynamic competitor. A clear decision victory for “Rude Boy” is the probable result.
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